Is Your Cold Actually COVID? What to Know as the Summer Surge Begins
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Is Your Cold Actually COVID? What to Know as the Summer Surge Begins

Coronavirus cases are growing across the U.S. in a late-summer surge. Here’s what to do if you start sniffling.
Is Your Cold Actually COVID? What to Know as the Summer Surge Begins
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In the years since COVID-19 swept the globe in 2020, upswings in infections have come not only in winter but also in summer. The latest public health measures suggest that this year’s summer wave is upon us.

“Right now, we’re experiencing a late summer spike in COVID cases that we’ve seen for a few years in a row — so it’s not unexpected,” says Wesley Long, MD, director of diagnostic microbiology at Houston Methodist Hospital in Texas.

Crowded indoor locations like airports, social gatherings, and time spent in air conditioning (which dries out nasal passages, increasing the risk of catching a respiratory virus) are not only favorable for spreading summer colds but also ideal for transmitting COVID-19.

Other factors that may be contributing to the seasonal spread include the emergence of more transmissible variants and the waning effects of vaccination, according to Dr. Long.

COVID Is Climbing Across the U.S., Data Reveals

While the overall number of COVID cases are low, estimates this week from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) indicate that COVID-19 cases are growing or likely growing in all 50 states.

Latest data from the public health surveillance program WastewaterSCAN also show that concentrations of the virus that causes COVID-19 in wastewater nationwide have been on an upward trend over the last three weeks and have now reached the “high” category.

CDC forecasting so far points to infections continuing to inch up into next month.

“We may anticipate an upswing over the next few weeks before rates come back down as fall approaches,” says Shruti Gohil, MD, associate medical director in the division of epidemiology and infection prevention at UCI Health in Orange, California.

Hospitalizations and ER Visits Are Creeping Up but Remain Low

Hospitalization and emergency room visits for COVID-like illnesses have also been inching higher, per the CDC.

But even with these numbers climbing a bit, Dr. Gohil stresses that the current risk from COVID-19 remains relatively low; and the risk for severe illness, hospitalization, and death is “extremely low.”

“Those at highest risk for severe disease continue to be older adults — especially those 65 and older — and people with underlying medical conditions or weakened immune systems,” she says.

Symptoms of COVID-19 and the Common Cold Can Be Hard to Tell Apart

Recognizing whether you have COVID-19 or a summer cold can be almost impossible.

“There aren’t a whole lot of distinguishing features between COVID and the common cold — or the flu, for that matter, which thankfully is not going around yet,” says Geeta Sood, MD, an an infectious diseases physician and epidemiologist at Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine in Baltimore.

The signs of these respiratory infections overlap, and can include:

  • Runny nose
  • Sore throat
  • Cough
  • Congestion
  • Fatigue
  • Fever
Some strains of COVID-19 may trigger more distinct, severe symptoms. Although latest tracking shows XFG (aka stratus) to be the predominant variant in the United States now, NB.1.8.1 (nimbus) remains in circulation, and that variant has been associated with intense throat soreness, or “razor blade throat.”

In the past, some strains have also been linked to a loss of taste or smell, which is rarely a sign of the common cold. But Dr. Sood notes that this symptom is not seen as often as it once was.

Should You Get a COVID Test?

While cold-like symptoms may be a sign you actually have COVID-19, the only conclusive way to diagnose the virus is through testing.

Most people recuperate from COVID-19 and the common cold the same way — with rest, hydration, and other supportive care — so may not see the point in testing. But that thinking comes with risks.

Long says it’s particularly important to know whether or not you have COVID-19 if you are in a group that is vulnerable to complications from infections, like seniors.

But even if you’re basically healthy, by knowing your COVID status through testing, you may be more compelled to avoid contact with those likely to become critically ill.

For people at higher risk of severe COVID, Long notes that treatments for COVID-19 like Paxlovid, Veklury, and Lageviro can make a difference.

“Those antivirals can lessen the chances of more serious illness downstream,” he says.

The key with these medications, though, is to start them early, within five to seven days of when symptoms first appear.

Sood adds that the treatments may also help protect against long COVID, which may lead to various types of health problems months or even years after a person first gets the infection.

From a public health standpoint, reporting test results can also help determine if infection rates are climbing and identify where the virus may be spreading.

Preventive Measures, Especially for the Most Vulnerable

The CDC recommends taking preventive steps to help reduce your risk of getting COVID-19 and other respiratory illnesses, especially for those most susceptible to dire health consequences and those in contact with these people:

  • Practice good hygiene, including thorough and regular hand-washing.
  • Stay home when sick.
  • Put distance between yourself and others.
  • Avoid crowded, confined areas.
  • Consider wearing a mask in settings where you may be close to others.
  • Keep up with the latest COVID vaccinations to lower your risk of severe illness.

Should You Get Vaccinated Now?

An updated formula for the COVID vaccine is expected to roll out in the fall, according to the U.S. Food and Drug Administration. The updated shot will target the XFG strain.

“For most healthy people, given that the new COVID-19 vaccine is imminent, it seems reasonable to await the newest formulation,” says Gohil.

For some people, however, vaccination protection may be waning at this point, and those with weaker defenses in particular may want to consult with a physician and receive a booster shot now, advises Sood.

“For people who are particularly at high risk, it may be worth getting vaccinated now because it takes a week to two weeks for the vaccine to truly create a positive response to help prevent severe disease,” she says. “These vaccines are safe and effective, and you can still get the new formula when it becomes available later on.”

EDITORIAL SOURCES
Everyday Health follows strict sourcing guidelines to ensure the accuracy of its content, outlined in our editorial policy. We use only trustworthy sources, including peer-reviewed studies, board-certified medical experts, patients with lived experience, and information from top institutions.
Resources
  1. Rosen A. Why COVID Surges in the Summer. Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health. August 7, 2024.
  2. Current Epidemic Trends. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. August 14, 2026.
  3. WastewaterSCAN Dashboard. August 14, 2026.
  4. WastewaterSCAN Weekly Data. X. August 13, 2026.
  5. COVID-19 Ensemble Forecasts. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. August 14, 2026.
  6. Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) Hospitalization Surveillance Network (COVID-NET). Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. January 30, 2026.
  7. NSSP Emergency Department Visit Trajectories by State and Sub State Regions- COVID-19, Flu, RSV, Combined. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. August 12, 2026.
  8. COVID-19, Cold, Allergies and the Flu: What are the Differences? Mayo Clinic. October 22, 2025.
  9. COVID: Variant and Genomic Surveillance. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. August 28, 2025.
  10. Types of COVID-19 Treatment. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. February 5, 2026.
  11. Long COVID Basics. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. May 6, 2026.
  12. COVID: How to Protect Yourself and Others. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. March 10, 2025.
  13. COVID-19 Vaccines (2026-2027 Formula) for Use in the United States Beginning in Fall 2026. U.S. Food and Drug Administration. May 29, 2026.

Tom Gavin

Fact-Checker

Tom Gavin joined Everyday Health as copy chief in 2022 after a lengthy stint as a freelance copy editor. He has a bachelor's degree in psychology from College of the Holy Cross.

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Don Rauf

Author

Don Rauf has been a freelance health writer for over 12 years and his writing has been featured in HealthDay, CBS News, WebMD, U.S. News & World Report, Mental Floss, United Press ...